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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 81,770.97 (+3.0%) | 5.8 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 20% ±8 | 51% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 58% ±25 | 4.6d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 617 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,299.02 (+2.4%) | 4.6 | 2.7% | 21h | 2.0d ago · 89× | 22% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 80 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±8 | 49% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.1d | 1.45% | 1.05% | 677 → 16 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 80,751.02–80,755.75 (+1.7%) | 3.3 | 3.3% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 36% ±13 | 45% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 109 | 9% ±3 | 35% ±13 | 61% ±23 | 76% ±29 | 1.9d | 1.55% | 0.91% | 322 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 80,627.16–81,297.2 (+1.5%) | 3.0 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 1.0d ago · 79× | 41% ±13 | 55% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 77 | 12% ±4 | 40% ±13 | 71% ±22 | 86% ±26 | 1.5d | 1.65% | 1.17% | 311 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 79,650.48–79,669.97 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 76× | 87% ±13 | 45% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 60 | 67% ±8 | 87% ±13 | 92% ±19 | 96% ±19 | 1h | 1.62% | 1.28% | 149 → 4 | |
| at post · 79,403.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 78,975.55 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.0d ago · 57× | 73% ±16 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 45% ±7 | 73% ±15 | 79% ±24 | 82% ±34 | 5h | 1.27% | 1.93% | 190 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-1.4%) | 2.6 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 47% ±13 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 13% ±4 | 47% ±13 | 64% ±21 | 76% ±28 | 1.1d | 1.52% | 0.84% | 358 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 77,707.73 (-2.1%) | 4.2 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 63× | 23% ±12 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 5% ±2 | 23% ±12 | 44% ±24 | 50% ±37 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 283 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 73,926.83 (-6.9%) | 13 | 1.4% | 9h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 21% ±18 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 833 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 79,403.7 | 80,751.02 | 78,472.37 | target | +1.61% |