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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 81,743.26 (+2.5%) | 4.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 24% ±9 | 51% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 63% ±25 | 3.5d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 573 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,186.62 (+1.8%) | 3.5 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 1.9d ago · 89× | 29% ±9 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 80 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 58% ±17 | 71% ±25 | 2.1d | 1.45% | 1.05% | 551 → 13 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,755.75–80,759.58 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 49% ±15 | 45% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 109 | 15% ±4 | 48% ±15 | 71% ±23 | 83% ±30 | 1.1d | 1.55% | 0.91% | 264 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 80,627.16–81,297.2 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 78× | 56% ±15 | 55% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 77 | 21% ±5 | 56% ±15 | 80% ±21 | 91% ±23 | 19h | 1.65% | 1.17% | 248 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,052.85 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 18h | 6.1d ago · 38× | 83% ±17 | 41% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 60% ±9 | 83% ±16 | 90% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 3h | 1.19% | 1.53% | 117 → 3 | |
| at post · 79,719.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 79,575.54 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 80% ±14 | 61% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 61% ±7 | 81% ±14 | 90% ±19 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 1.60% | 1.37% | 184 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 79,191.38–79,287.1 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.6% | 9h | 8.3d ago · 46× | 76% ±16 | 42% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 48% ±7 | 76% ±15 | 90% ±18 | 97% ±16 | 5h | 1.19% | 1.22% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,165.34 (-0.7%) | 1.3 | 1.6% | 8h | 21.2d ago · 56× | 66% ±16 | 40% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 55% ±14 | 50 | 37% ±6 | 67% ±15 | 75% ±25 | 78% ±37 | 9h | 1.27% | 1.93% | 214 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-1.7%) | 3.3 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 38% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 58% ±20 | 72% ±28 | 1.8d | 1.52% | 0.84% | 413 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 77,707.73 (-2.5%) | 4.8 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 19% ±11 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 38% ±23 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 1.55% | 0.99% | 300 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 74,501.15 (-6.5%) | 12 | 1.8% | 13h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 22% ±19 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 816 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 79,719.4 | 80,755.75 | 79,285.55 | target | +0.79% |