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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 81,653.17–81,882.93 (+3.0%) | 4.9 | 2.3% | 13h | 1.7d ago · 89× | 21% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 60% ±23 | 4.3d | 1.42% | 1.11% | 726 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 80,747.03–80,770.74 (+1.9%) | 3.1 | 4.4% | 1.9d | 1.5d ago · 117× | 39% ±14 | 45% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 10% ±3 | 39% ±14 | 66% ±23 | 79% ±30 | 1.6d | 1.53% | 0.89% | 297 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 80,627.16–81,392.92 (+1.7%) | 2.8 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 1.0d ago · 79× | 44% ±14 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 14% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 73% ±21 | 88% ±24 | 1.3d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 306 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,996.18 (+0.9%) | 1.5 | 3.3% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 76× | 74% ±17 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 61 | 38% ±8 | 74% ±17 | 84% ±24 | 92% ±27 | 8h | 1.82% | 1.14% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,506.55 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 15h | 21.4d ago · 50× | 76% ±24 | 37% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 56% ±16 | 38 | 60% ±11 | 76% ±24 | 84% ±36 | 96% ±27 | 2h | 1.58% | 1.45% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 79,264.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-1.2%) | 1.9 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 1.6d ago · 98× | 61% ±14 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 100 | 23% ±5 | 61% ±14 | 75% ±21 | 80% ±30 | 13h | 1.52% | 0.84% | 295 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,511.25 (-3.5%) | 5.7 | 2.7% | 17h | 20.8d ago · 37× | 13% ±7 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 26% ±17 | 42% ±29 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 462 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.