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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 81,925.29 (+4.5%) | 10 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.9d ago · 89× | 8% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 24% ±14 | 35% ±24 | > 7d | 1.46% | 1.03% | 645 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 81,669.91–81,680.07 (+4.2%) | 9.3 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 8% ±5 | 48% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 20% ±12 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.18% | 732 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 80,743.36–80,776.67 (+3.0%) | 6.7 | 3.3% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 15% ±9 | 45% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 35% ±20 | 56% ±32 | 5.3d | 1.53% | 0.89% | 391 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 80,627.16–81,392.92 (+2.9%) | 6.4 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 2.9d ago · 78× | 20% ±10 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 47% ±21 | 65% ±31 | 3.8d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 389 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 79,739.84 (+1.7%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 76× | 34% ±17 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 61 | 4% ±3 | 34% ±17 | 58% ±31 | 74% ±43 | 2.2d | 1.82% | 1.14% | 175 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,497.17 (+1.4%) | 3.1 | 1.8% | 11h | 21.3d ago · 50× | 35% ±15 | 37% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 56% ±16 | 38 | 7% ±3 | 35% ±15 | 58% ±27 | 78% ±33 | 2.1d | 1.58% | 1.45% | 235 → 6 | |
| at post · 78,389.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 77,372.72–78,329.91 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 98× | 93% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 29% ±9 | 101 | 77% ±6 | 93% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 1.44% | 0.84% | 213 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,606.97 (-2.3%) | 5.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 16% ±9 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±9 | 30% ±19 | 45% ±31 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 401 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.