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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 81,926.04 (+4.7%) | 14 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 89× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±15 | 24% ±25 | > 7d | 1.46% | 1.03% | 450 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 81,637.94–81,678.78 (+4.4%) | 13 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 3% ±3 | 48% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±9 | 21% ±19 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.18% | 698 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,735.66–80,764.07 (+3.2%) | 9.7 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 6% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±17 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.91% | 388 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 80,630.37–81,363.15 (+3.1%) | 9.3 | 1.9% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 78× | 11% ±8 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 31% ±20 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 385 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 79,483.48–79,545.28 (+1.6%) | 4.9 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 76× | 25% ±14 | 44% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 50% ±13 | 61 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±14 | 50% ±27 | 70% ±40 | 3.0d | 1.73% | 1.25% | 225 → 5 | |
| at post · 78,214.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 78,111.45 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 63× | 86% ±13 | 47% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 40% ±13 | 59 | 63% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 2h | 1.55% | 0.99% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,874.9 (-1.7%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 8h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 15% ±9 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±8 | 29% ±19 | 45% ±31 | > 7d | 1.39% | 1.29% | 418 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 75,958.93–76,325.31 (-2.4%) | 7.3 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 17% ±8 | 54% ±10 | 17% ±7 | 29% ±9 | 101 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 38% ±19 | 61% ±29 | 4.9d | 1.44% | 0.84% | 463 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.