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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 81,729.54–81,931.97 (+5.3%) | 11 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 89× | 6% ±4 | 48% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 17% ±12 | 29% ±21 | > 7d | 1.43% | 1.11% | 736 → 18 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 80,735.62–80,783.08 (+4.0%) | 8.1 | 3.7% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 117× | 9% ±7 | 44% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 110 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 28% ±19 | 49% ±33 | 6.8d | 1.58% | 0.91% | 398 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 79,714.4–79,989.19 (+2.7%) | 5.5 | 2.9% | 17h | 2.9d ago · 78× | 22% ±10 | 54% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 31% ±10 | 78 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±10 | 51% ±21 | 72% ±29 | 2.9d | 1.69% | 1.22% | 395 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 79,429.83 (+2.4%) | 4.7 | 1.9% | 11h | 21.3d ago · 50× | 24% ±13 | 38% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 55% ±16 | 39 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 47% ±27 | 70% ±37 | 3.3d | 1.59% | 1.43% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 78,871.55 (+1.6%) | 3.3 | 2.5% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 76× | 40% ±17 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 61 | 8% ±4 | 40% ±17 | 61% ±30 | 77% ±41 | 1.6d | 1.82% | 1.14% | 188 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 78,111.45 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 71× | 70% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 66 | 41% ±6 | 70% ±15 | 86% ±19 | 90% ±26 | 7h | 1.38% | 0.82% | 229 → 5 | |
| at post · 77,599.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 77,149.69 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 1.9% | 12h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 90% ±14 | 43% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 66% ±9 | 90% ±14 | 92% ±21 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 1.39% | 1.29% | 104 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 77,599.9 | 78,111.45 | 76,325.31 | stop | -0.90% |