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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,495 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 82,138.19 (+5.8%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 5% ±4 | 52% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±10 | 25% ±20 | > 7d | 1.54% | 0.95% | 737 → 18 | |
| 14D POC | 80,752.23 (+4.0%) | 8.5 | 3.8% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 82× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±11 | 80 | 0% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 25% ±18 | 49% ±31 | > 7d | 1.70% | 0.73% | 421 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 80,679.31–81,236.56 (+3.9%) | 8.3 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 2.9d ago · 78× | 12% ±8 | 54% ±11 | 16% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 80 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 33% ±20 | 49% ±31 | > 7d | 1.69% | 1.16% | 404 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 80,360.88 (+3.5%) | 7.4 | 2.7% | 19h | 6.1d ago · 38× | 6% ±5 | 43% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±24 | > 7d | 1.16% | 1.56% | 622 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,294.47 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 89× | 58% ±13 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 25% ±5 | 58% ±13 | 75% ±20 | 84% ±25 | 15h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 327 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 78,092.08 (+0.6%) | 1.3 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 1.4d ago · 71× | 72% ±14 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 68 | 42% ±6 | 72% ±14 | 88% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 7h | 1.45% | 0.79% | 236 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,625.78 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.8% | 1.7d | 21.3d ago · 50× | 81% ±27 | 40% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 53% ±15 | 40 | 81% ±11 | 83% ±26 | 85% ±41 | 98% | 1h | 1.63% | 1.31% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 77,619.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 76,778.57–77,097 (-0.7%) | 1.4 | 3.2% | 21h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 76% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 18% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 104 | 39% ±5 | 76% ±11 | 86% ±16 | 87% ±23 | 7h | 1.48% | 0.84% | 335 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 76,931.26 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 115× | 73% ±13 | 43% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±9 | 110 | 32% ±5 | 73% ±13 | 85% ±18 | 92% ±21 | 10h | 1.28% | 0.95% | 287 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,509.91 (-1.4%) | 3.0 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 100× | 38% ±10 | 61% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 35% ±10 | 89 | 10% ±2 | 38% ±10 | 57% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 1.8d | 1.60% | 1.37% | 587 → 14 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,141.71 (-1.9%) | 4.0 | 1.9% | 13h | 20.7d ago · 37× | 23% ±11 | 42% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 47% ±15 | 40 | 5% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 39% ±22 | 52% ±35 | 5.8d | 1.38% | 1.38% | 345 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 77,619.9 | 77,335.69 | 80,752.23 | target | +2.72% |