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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,500 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.19 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 80,672.43–81,276.18 (+4.4%) | 9.6 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 1.0d ago · 79× | 10% ±7 | 54% ±11 | 17% ±8 | 30% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±18 | 43% ±31 | > 7d | 1.65% | 1.15% | 407 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 80,586.17–80,726.55 (+4.3%) | 9.4 | 2.7% | 21h | 1.7d ago · 67× | 7% ±4 | 48% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 17% ±11 | 30% ±21 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.18% | 754 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 77,910.2 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.0d ago · 89× | 58% ±13 | 49% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 24% ±5 | 58% ±13 | 74% ±20 | 84% ±26 | 15h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 334 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 77,524.26 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 71× | 79% ±13 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 68 | 56% ±7 | 79% ±13 | 90% ±17 | 94% ±22 | 3h | 1.45% | 0.79% | 214 → 5 | |
| at post · 77,246.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 76,887.09–76,929.04 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 115× | 85% ±9 | 44% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 112 | 63% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 90% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 2h | 1.23% | 0.90% | 376 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,296.74 (-1.2%) | 2.7 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 100× | 41% ±10 | 60% ±10 | 4% ±4 | 35% ±10 | 90 | 12% ±3 | 41% ±10 | 62% ±17 | 71% ±25 | 1.5d | 1.60% | 1.41% | 533 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 75,772.41–75,928.62 (-1.7%) | 3.7 | 1.5% | 10h | 1.0d ago · 57× | 26% ±10 | 40% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 52 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 44% ±19 | 56% ±29 | 4.7d | 1.31% | 1.73% | 450 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 77,246.9 | 76,929.04 | 76,006.31 | target | -0.79% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 77,246.9 | 76,887.09 | 74,880.67 | target | -0.79% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 77,246.9 | 77,524.26 | 75,090.26 | target | -0.79% |