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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-07-11 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 64,786.23–65,356.04 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 7.8d ago · 53× | 54% ±15 | 54% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 30% ±11 | 64 | 17% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 72% ±23 | 77% ±34 | 21h | 1.98% | 0.73% | 262 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 64,691.26 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 38× | 61% ±20 | 44% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 49% ±16 | 38 | 28% ±7 | 61% ±19 | 80% ±28 | 88% ±32 | 14h | 1.19% | 1.53% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 64,483.9 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 1.3% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 81% ±12 | 53% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 70 | 56% ±6 | 80% ±12 | 86% ±18 | 89% ±25 | 3h | 1.47% | 0.95% | 247 → 6 | |
| at post · 64,239.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 64,182.67 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 1.4d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 92% ±12 | 45% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 48% ±12 | 64 | 78% ±7 | 92% ±12 | 93% ±19 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 1.28% | 1.20% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 62,519.16–62,807.73 (-2.2%) | 5.4 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 115× | 16% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 128 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 36% ±14 | 50% ±22 | 3.3d | 1.41% | 1.04% | 858 → 20 | |
| HVN zone | 59,752.93–60,227.77 (-6.2%) | 15 | 2.4% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 98× | 6% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 18% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 120 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 24% ±22 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 1.48% | 0.90% | 266 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 60,115.92 (-6.4%) | 15 | 2.4% | 19h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 24% ±20 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.49% | 752 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 59,847.9 (-6.8%) | 17 | 2.4% | 14h | 20.3d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 39% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±8 | 20% ±17 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.51% | 888 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 64,239.6 | 65,903.1 | 62,807.73 | expired | -0.45% |