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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 64,786.23–65,356.04 (+1.0%) | 2.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 7.7d ago · 53× | 41% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 30% ±11 | 64 | 10% ±3 | 40% ±14 | 61% ±24 | 70% ±34 | 1.5d | 1.98% | 0.73% | 294 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 64,691.26 (+0.8%) | 2.5 | 0.6% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 47% ±18 | 45% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 39 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±18 | 70% ±28 | 84% ±36 | 1.2d | 1.23% | 1.49% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 64,553.23 (+0.6%) | 1.8 | 0.9% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 64% ±14 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 71 | 30% ±6 | 64% ±14 | 78% ±21 | 82% ±31 | 11h | 1.41% | 0.95% | 261 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 64,284.51 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 89× | 85% ±10 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±10 | 93 | 65% ±6 | 85% ±10 | 92% ±13 | 94% ±17 | 2h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 64,168.94 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 1.5d | 20.1d ago · 70× | 89% ±12 | 44% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 73% ±7 | 90% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 95% ±20 | 1h | 1.37% | 0.87% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 64,168.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 63,860.15 (-0.5%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 22h | 1.1d ago · 115× | 76% ±11 | 47% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 44% ±9 | 128 | 41% ±5 | 76% ±11 | 86% ±15 | 92% ±17 | 6h | 1.31% | 0.95% | 368 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 62,412.03–63,076.81 (-1.7%) | 5.2 | 1.7% | 14h | 1.1d ago · 98× | 25% ±9 | 52% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 121 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 49% ±18 | 69% ±25 | 3.1d | 1.44% | 0.91% | 534 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 62,553.11–62,646.58 (-2.4%) | 7.2 | 2.4% | 24h | 1.1d ago · 100× | 10% ±5 | 53% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 103 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±22 | > 7d | 1.42% | 1.12% | 824 → 20 | |
| 14D VAL | 60,254.59 (-6.1%) | 19 | 1.9% | 14h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 1% ±2 | 43% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 52% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 22% ±21 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.49% | 618 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 59,752.93 (-6.9%) | 21 | 1.9% | 9h | 20.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 39% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 16% ±17 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.51% | 758 → 18 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 64,168.5 | 59,752.93 | 64,691.26 | expired | +3.10% |