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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 64,976.17 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 86% ±16 | 45% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 39 | 66% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 92% ±22 | 95% ±24 | 2h | 1.23% | 1.49% | 107 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 64,976.17–65,545.98 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 53× | 78% ±15 | 54% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 30% ±11 | 64 | 57% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 85% ±22 | 87% ±33 | 3h | 1.98% | 0.73% | 186 → 4 | |
| at post · 64,798.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 63,646.62–64,311.39 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 1.2d ago · 98× | 79% ±10 | 52% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 123 | 44% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 88% ±14 | 90% ±20 | 6h | 1.43% | 0.93% | 374 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 64,245.43 (-0.9%) | 1.5 | 3.5% | 1.9d | 1.5d ago · 58× | 61% ±20 | 43% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 36% ±8 | 61% ±19 | 74% ±31 | 91% ±29 | 10h | 1.36% | 1.04% | 147 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 63,938.7 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 47% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 49% ±12 | 65 | 15% ±5 | 47% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 73% ±39 | 1.3d | 1.28% | 1.15% | 203 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 62,734.3–62,765.45 (-3.1%) | 5.5 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 1.1d ago · 115× | 17% ±9 | 47% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 129 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 40% ±19 | 53% ±29 | 3.2d | 1.34% | 0.96% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 61,665.44–61,700.5 (-4.8%) | 8.4 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.1d ago · 100× | 8% ±4 | 52% ±10 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±10 | 104 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±12 | 37% ±21 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.34% | 864 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 59,942.86 (-7.5%) | 13 | 3.5% | 23h | 20.3d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 39% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 23% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.51% | 941 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 64,798.1 | 62,744.42 | 65,882.16 | expired | +0.38% |