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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-04 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,491 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 65,280.75 (+2.0%) | 3.8 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 29% ±10 | 53% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 77 | 6% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 57% ±18 | 69% ±25 | 2.2d | 1.38% | 0.91% | 531 → 13 | |
| 30D VAH | 64,898.34 (+1.4%) | 2.6 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 5.9d ago · 38× | 42% ±15 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 11% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 66% ±26 | 82% ±31 | 1.4d | 1.25% | 1.42% | 233 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 64,616.99–64,842.07 (+1.0%) | 1.8 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 2.7d ago · 78× | 66% ±12 | 54% ±9 | 18% ±7 | 28% ±9 | 106 | 30% ±5 | 67% ±12 | 86% ±15 | 92% ±18 | 12h | 1.69% | 1.13% | 355 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 64,316.05 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 1.7d ago · 89× | 79% ±10 | 50% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±10 | 99 | 55% ±5 | 79% ±10 | 87% ±14 | 91% ±19 | 3h | 1.47% | 1.03% | 377 → 9 | |
| at post · 64,004.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 63,895.63–63,969.87 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.5% | 2.9d | 1.3d ago · 115× | 90% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 136 | 74% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.35% | 0.96% | 320 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 62,703.78–63,041.4 (-1.5%) | 2.8 | 4.9% | 1.8d | 1.3d ago · 98× | 46% ±11 | 54% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±8 | 135 | 12% ±3 | 46% ±11 | 66% ±18 | 77% ±25 | 1.2d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 479 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 62,647.5–62,933.1 (-1.7%) | 3.2 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 100× | 31% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 45% ±9 | 111 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 52% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 2.7d | 1.40% | 1.37% | 789 → 19 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 64,004.4 | 64,316.05 | 62,766.43 | target | +0.21% |
| 14d | POC | long | 64,004.4 | 65,280.75 | 62,933.1 | expired | +0.21% |
| 30d | POC | long | 64,004.4 | 64,898.34 | 62,647.5 | expired | +0.21% |