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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,491 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.05) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 64,924.58–65,026.96 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 3.6% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 74% ±13 | 51% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 41% ±11 | 77 | 47% ±6 | 74% ±12 | 84% ±18 | 89% ±23 | 5h | 1.33% | 1.09% | 285 → 7 | |
| at post · 64,631.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 64,600.68 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 72× | 94% ±11 | 46% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 46% ±12 | 68 | 85% ±7 | 94% ±11 | 95% ±18 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 1.28% | 1.12% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 63,920.74–63,992.86 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 7.8% | 2.9d | 1.3d ago · 115× | 62% ±12 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 137 | 21% ±4 | 62% ±12 | 77% ±18 | 86% ±23 | 15h | 1.34% | 0.94% | 381 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 63,202.07 (-2.2%) | 4.7 | 3.8% | 23h | 20.9d ago · 56× | 21% ±8 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 64 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±8 | 38% ±16 | 50% ±25 | 6.8d | 1.27% | 1.45% | 617 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 62,979.11–63,033.15 (-2.5%) | 5.3 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 98× | 25% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±8 | 136 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±9 | 50% ±17 | 69% ±24 | 3.0d | 1.43% | 0.94% | 575 → 14 | |
| 7D VAL | 63,019.43 (-2.5%) | 5.3 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 100× | 20% ±6 | 56% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 111 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 55% ±21 | 5.0d | 1.49% | 1.27% | 942 → 22 | |
| 30D VAL | 62,762.94 (-2.9%) | 6.2 | 3.8% | 23h | 20.4d ago · 37× | 13% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 29% ±15 | 43% ±25 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.47% | 634 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 64,631.9 | 66,213.15 | 63,920.74 | expired | +0.14% |