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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,488 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.03) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 66,054.02–66,105.2 (+3.2%) | 9.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 53× | 7% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±11 | 66 | 0% ±0 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 37% ±26 | > 7d | 1.98% | 0.75% | 561 → 13 | |
| 30D VAH | 65,286.31 (+2.0%) | 5.7 | 2.2% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 15% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 47 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 36% ±16 | 50% ±26 | 7.0d | 1.25% | 1.29% | 599 → 14 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 64,958.96–65,092.46 (+1.5%) | 4.3 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.2d ago · 117× | 23% ±7 | 45% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 46% ±8 | 139 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 63% ±21 | 3.2d | 1.35% | 1.02% | 879 → 21 | |
| 7D VAL | 64,065.51 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.2% | 1.9d | 7.9d ago · 75× | 91% ±10 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 76 | 79% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 94% ±14 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 1.57% | 1.09% | 171 → 4 | |
| at post · 63,997 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 63,937.1–63,981.19 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.6% | 2.1d | 1.1d ago · 85× | 92% ±8 | 47% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 98 | 75% ±5 | 92% ±8 | 94% ±13 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.37% | 0.89% | 240 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 63,465.28 (-0.8%) | 2.4 | 2.5% | 17h | 20.8d ago · 56× | 45% ±13 | 43% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 64 | 11% ±3 | 44% ±13 | 61% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 1.3d | 1.27% | 1.45% | 333 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 63,341.43 (-1.0%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 10h | 20.3d ago · 37× | 36% ±14 | 43% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 10% ±3 | 36% ±14 | 56% ±24 | 66% ±35 | 2.3d | 1.41% | 1.47% | 285 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 63,997 | 62,970.05 | 64,958.96 | expired | +0.39% |