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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,477 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 65,797.23–65,844.18 (+3.3%) | 9.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 7.4d ago · 53× | 7% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±11 | 66 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 36% ±25 | > 7d | 1.98% | 0.75% | 572 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 65,301.01 (+2.6%) | 7.1 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 12% ±5 | 51% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 105 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 33% ±12 | 47% ±20 | > 7d | 1.46% | 0.96% | 985 → 23 | |
| 30D VAH | 65,139.89 (+2.3%) | 6.4 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 5.4d ago · 38× | 11% ±6 | 52% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 30% ±14 | 44% ±24 | > 7d | 1.25% | 1.29% | 695 → 17 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 64,948.99–64,962.08 (+2.0%) | 5.5 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 1.6d ago · 116× | 19% ±7 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 139 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 54% ±23 | 5.5d | 1.29% | 1.05% | 759 → 18 | |
| 30D POC | 63,989.54 (+0.5%) | 1.4 | 5.9% | 2.1d | 19.7d ago · 70× | 71% ±13 | 42% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 87 | 39% ±6 | 71% ±13 | 86% ±17 | 90% ±22 | 8h | 1.29% | 0.85% | 298 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 63,825.2–64,999.03 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 4.7% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 78× | 85% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 19% ±7 | 27% ±8 | 109 | 65% ±5 | 86% ±9 | 93% ±12 | 96% ±14 | 2h | 1.65% | 1.11% | 337 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 63,806.94–63,870.22 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.5% | 1.1d | 6.4d ago · 81× | 83% ±10 | 47% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 43% ±10 | 100 | 65% ±5 | 83% ±10 | 91% ±13 | 94% ±16 | 2h | 1.60% | 0.87% | 319 → 8 | |
| at post · 63,669.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 63,367.67–63,402.63 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 21h | 19.9d ago · 56× | 73% ±13 | 43% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 50% ±12 | 65 | 45% ±6 | 74% ±13 | 83% ±19 | 86% ±26 | 7h | 1.34% | 1.40% | 274 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 63,669.2 | 63,806.94 | 63,080.67 | target | -1.51% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 63,669.2 | 63,989.54 | 63,089.92 | stop | -1.51% |