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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-08-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,477 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0011), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.47 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 81,317.55 (+4.8%) | 8.6 | 0.1% | 14m | 1.7d ago · 67× | 10% ±5 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 38% ±10 | 83 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 23% ±12 | 40% ±20 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.86% | 942 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,902.99 (+3.0%) | 5.3 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 19% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 111 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 60% ±20 | 4.1d | 1.44% | 1.02% | 949 → 23 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 78,672.03–78,846.14 (+1.4%) | 2.5 | 3.0% | 19h | 6.5d ago · 116× | 42% ±12 | 41% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 49% ±8 | 141 | 12% ±3 | 43% ±12 | 71% ±19 | 80% ±25 | 1.3d | 1.41% | 0.99% | 413 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 77,645.76–77,789.29 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 21h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 88% ±11 | 48% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 72% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 1.41% | 1.14% | 199 → 5 | |
| at post · 77,586.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 73,020.67–74,369.66 (-4.1%) | 7.4 | 0.3% | 36m | 7.7d ago · 46× | 13% ±9 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 29% ±20 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 358 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 72,742.4 (-6.2%) | 11 | 0.6% | 3h | 20.5d ago · 56× | 4% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 68 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 27% ±18 | > 7d | 1.27% | 1.35% | 1023 → 24 | |
| HVN zone | 62,806.94–65,119.48 (-16.1%) | 29 | 2.4% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 98× | 4% ±9 | 56% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 28% ±7 | 146 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 15% ±28 | 20% ±55 | > 7d | 1.44% | 0.93% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 64,252.28 (-17.2%) | 31 | 4.9% | 1.9d | 5.2d ago · 62× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.94% | 175 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 62,228.8 (-19.8%) | 35 | 0.1% | 25m | 20.0d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±19 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 435 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 77,586.4 | 64,252.28 | 80,420.81 | expired | -1.43% |