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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-06 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.6%) | 11 | <0.1% | 5m | 5.0d ago · 38× | 3% ±2 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 27% ±19 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 944 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 79,872.67–79,953.06 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 85% ±9 | 50% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 113 | 64% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 91% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 2h | 1.36% | 0.95% | 379 → 9 | |
| at post · 79,824 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 78,768.03 (-1.3%) | 5.8 | 1.7% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 84× | 13% ±7 | 46% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 44% ±9 | 107 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 49% ±27 | > 7d | 1.18% | 0.83% | 527 → 13 | |
| 7D POC | 77,715.28 (-2.6%) | 12 | 1.5% | 11h | 3.6d ago · 114× | 6% ±7 | 48% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 44% ±8 | 146 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 26% ±22 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 1.31% | 0.95% | 288 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 77,432.14 (-3.0%) | 13 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 1.58% | 0.94% | 417 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,127.8 (-3.4%) | 15 | 1.5% | 12h | 20.1d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 909 → 22 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,887.61 (-3.7%) | 16 | 1.0% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 4% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 31% ±27 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 446 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.8%) | 30 | 0.1% | 16m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 1% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 5% ±29 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 69,017.74 (-13.5%) | 59 | 0.2% | 31m | 19.6d ago · 37× | 1% ±4 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±21 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 133 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 64,662.05–65,058.02 (-18.5%) | 81 | 1.1% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 98× | building | 55% ±8 | 17% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 147 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.43% | 0.93% | 7 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 79,824 | 77,715.28 | 80,504.84 | stop | +0.17% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 79,824 | 78,768.03 | 80,366.75 | stop | +0.17% |