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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+3.7%) | 8.9 | <0.1% | 9m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 5% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 32% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 919 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,608.4 (+3.3%) | 8.1 | 0.2% | 53m | 1.5d ago · 89× | 10% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 41% ±9 | 114 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 30% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 1.37% | 1.01% | 1000 → 24 | |
| 14D VAH | 80,014.37 (+1.3%) | 3.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 36% ±10 | 51% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 86 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 74% ±25 | 1.8d | 1.32% | 0.86% | 496 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 79,615.86 (+0.8%) | 1.9 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 54% ±13 | 37% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 54% ±8 | 144 | 21% ±4 | 54% ±13 | 80% ±19 | 85% ±25 | 20h | 1.25% | 1.17% | 332 → 8 | |
| at post · 78,989.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 78,757.53–78,818.05 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 23h | 4.6d ago · 84× | 85% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 107 | 64% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 90% ±14 | 94% ±17 | 2h | 1.36% | 0.88% | 338 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 77,807.24 (-1.5%) | 3.6 | 2.6% | 16h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 31% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 7% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 53% ±14 | 64% ±21 | 2.5d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 837 → 20 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,316.77 (-2.1%) | 5.2 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 17% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±7 | 32% ±14 | 46% ±23 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 740 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-5.9%) | 14 | 0.2% | 27m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±9 | 12% ±24 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 70,205.65 (-11.1%) | 27 | 0.2% | 7m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±16 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 721 → 17 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-18.4%) | 45 | 1.1% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 1% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 148 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.93% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 78,989.3 | 81,886.83 | 70,205.65 | expired | -0.37% |