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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 81,792.33–81,886.83 (+4.0%) | 11 | 0.1% | 18m | 1.4d ago · 89× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 1.33% | 1.12% | 955 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,953.06 (+1.7%) | 4.4 | 1.5% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 27% ±8 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 4% ±1 | 27% ±8 | 51% ±16 | 66% ±23 | 2.8d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 691 → 16 | |
| 7D POC | 79,615.86 (+1.2%) | 3.2 | 2.3% | 1.1d | 5.9d ago · 116× | 36% ±11 | 37% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 54% ±8 | 144 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±11 | 63% ±19 | 73% ±26 | 1.8d | 1.25% | 1.17% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 78,757.53–78,818.05 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 23h | 5.9d ago · 81× | 85% ±10 | 45% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±10 | 105 | 67% ±5 | 85% ±10 | 92% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.49% | 0.79% | 300 → 7 | |
| at post · 78,650 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 77,807.24 (-1.1%) | 2.8 | 2.3% | 15h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 40% ±9 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 11% ±2 | 40% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 68% ±23 | 1.7d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 692 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,316.77 (-1.7%) | 4.5 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 23% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 38% ±16 | 52% ±25 | 6.3d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 635 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-5.5%) | 14 | 0.2% | 25m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 12% ±24 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 70,799.61 (-10.0%) | 26 | <0.1% | 4m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 745 → 18 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-18.0%) | 48 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±8 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 78,650 | 77,316.77 | 79,953.06 | expired | -0.62% |
| 30d | POC | short | 78,650 | 70,799.61 | 81,886.83 | expired | -0.62% |