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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+4.0%) | 8.6 | <0.1% | 11m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 5% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 18% ±11 | 34% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 909 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,608.4 (+3.7%) | 7.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.5d ago · 89× | 11% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 31% ±12 | 46% ±20 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1011 → 24 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,953.06 (+1.6%) | 3.4 | 1.8% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 35% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 7% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 73% ±24 | 1.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 542 → 13 | |
| 7D POC | 79,615.86 (+1.2%) | 2.5 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 47% ±12 | 38% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 53% ±8 | 145 | 14% ±4 | 47% ±12 | 75% ±19 | 82% ±25 | 1.1d | 1.25% | 1.16% | 378 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 78,757.53 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 6.0d ago · 81× | 88% ±10 | 46% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 105 | 77% ±5 | 88% ±10 | 95% ±11 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 1.65% | 0.74% | 262 → 6 | |
| at post · 78,700 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 78,620.06 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.6% | 24h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 90% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 86 | 70% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 1.58% | 0.94% | 197 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 77,991.17 (-0.9%) | 1.9 | 2.8% | 20h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 53% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 20% ±4 | 53% ±11 | 71% ±17 | 77% ±24 | 21h | 1.48% | 1.21% | 494 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,378.08 (-1.7%) | 3.6 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 31% ±10 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 58% ±28 | 3.6d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 518 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-5.5%) | 12 | 0.2% | 31m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 5% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±14 | 21% ±28 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 352 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,591.56 (-9.0%) | 19 | 0.5% | 1h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 966 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-18.1%) | 38 | 1.2% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 1% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±26 | 9% ±40 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 78,700 | 77,378.08 | 79,953.06 | expired | -0.09% |