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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+4.0%) | 8.2 | <0.1% | 11m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±20 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 880 → 21 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,301.86 (+3.2%) | 6.7 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 13% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 36% ±12 | 52% ±20 | 6.5d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1048 → 25 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,953.06 (+1.5%) | 3.2 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 36% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 8% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 73% ±25 | 1.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 500 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 79,615.86 (+1.1%) | 2.3 | 2.9% | 1.3d | 5.9d ago · 116× | 50% ±13 | 38% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 53% ±8 | 145 | 16% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 78% ±18 | 84% ±24 | 1.0d | 1.25% | 1.16% | 362 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 78,757.53 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 5.9d ago · 81× | 88% ±10 | 46% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 105 | 80% ±5 | 89% ±10 | 96% ±11 | 98% ±12 | 1h | 1.65% | 0.74% | 242 → 6 | |
| at post · 78,746 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 78,620.06 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.6d ago · 62× | 89% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 67% ±6 | 89% ±10 | 92% ±15 | 95% ±18 | 2h | 1.55% | 0.97% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 78,175.1 (-0.7%) | 1.5 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 6.1d ago · 99× | 62% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 29% ±4 | 62% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 84% ±22 | 12h | 1.48% | 1.21% | 475 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,316.77 (-1.8%) | 3.7 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 29% ±9 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 56% ±27 | 4.5d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 548 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-5.6%) | 11 | 0.2% | 32m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 5% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 12% ±14 | 21% ±27 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 359 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,789.54 (-8.8%) | 18 | 0.7% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 989 → 24 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-18.1%) | 37 | 1.3% | 11h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 1% ±5 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±25 | 9% ±40 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 78,746 | 81,886.83 | 71,789.54 | expired | -0.77% |