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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+2.8%) | 5.7 | <0.1% | 11m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 15% ±7 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 36% ±16 | 51% ±25 | 6.8d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 635 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 81,117.93 (+1.8%) | 3.7 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.5d ago · 89× | 29% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 5% ±1 | 29% ±8 | 58% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.1d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 781 → 19 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,953.06 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 84% ±10 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 62% ±6 | 84% ±10 | 88% ±16 | 91% ±22 | 2h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 280 → 7 | |
| at post · 79,660.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 79,615.86 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 91% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 147 | 78% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 93% ±11 | 97% ±13 | 1h | 1.31% | 0.96% | 315 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 78,620.06–78,757.53 (-1.1%) | 2.3 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 4.6d ago · 84× | 51% ±14 | 48% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 42% ±9 | 108 | 16% ±4 | 51% ±13 | 68% ±21 | 80% ±28 | 1.0d | 1.34% | 0.92% | 315 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 78,175.1 (-1.9%) | 3.8 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 6.1d ago · 99× | 31% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 118 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±7 | 52% ±14 | 63% ±21 | 2.7d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 875 → 21 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,316.77 (-2.9%) | 6.0 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 13% ±6 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 28% ±13 | 42% ±22 | > 7d | 1.29% | 1.34% | 842 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-6.6%) | 13 | 0.2% | 32m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±10 | 13% ±24 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 328 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 71,987.53 (-9.6%) | 20 | 0.6% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 956 → 23 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-19.1%) | 39 | 1.3% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 1% ±5 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±24 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 79,660.5 | 81,117.93 | 78,175.1 | stop | -1.99% |