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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,886.83 (+4.0%) | 7.1 | <0.1% | 13m | 5.0d ago · 38× | 8% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 39% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 820 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 80,242.77 (+1.9%) | 3.3 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 31% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±8 | 60% ±15 | 74% ±21 | 1.9d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 734 → 17 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,953.06 (+1.5%) | 2.7 | 2.1% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 42% ±11 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 13% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 66% ±19 | 75% ±27 | 1.5d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 433 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 79,625.39 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 53% ±13 | 38% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 53% ±8 | 145 | 20% ±4 | 54% ±13 | 80% ±18 | 86% ±24 | 20h | 1.25% | 1.16% | 336 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 78,818.05 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 19.4d ago · 70× | 89% ±11 | 43% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 48% ±10 | 90 | 72% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.29% | 0.85% | 199 → 5 | |
| at post · 78,769.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 78,757.53 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 4.7d ago · 84× | 93% ±9 | 47% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 108 | 79% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 1.17% | 0.89% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 77,378.08–77,558.52 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 6.2d ago · 99× | 39% ±9 | 52% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 43% ±9 | 119 | 10% ±2 | 39% ±9 | 57% ±16 | 66% ±23 | 2.0d | 1.41% | 1.24% | 686 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-5.6%) | 10.0 | 0.2% | 36m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 7% ±6 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±15 | 26% ±27 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 399 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 72,581.49 (-7.9%) | 14 | 0.6% | 3h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 22% ±16 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 1068 → 25 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,464.06 (-18.2%) | 32 | 1.2% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 98× | 3% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±24 | 13% ±39 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 120 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 78,769.6 | 79,953.06 | 77,378.08 | stop | -2.03% |