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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,688.84 (+6.3%) | 11 | 0.3% | 58m | 5.0d ago · 38× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 976 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 80,136.37 (+4.3%) | 7.1 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 13% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 33% ±12 | 49% ±20 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1050 → 25 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,891.75 (+3.9%) | 6.6 | 2.6% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 67× | 15% ±6 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 35% ±14 | 53% ±21 | 6.1d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 868 → 21 | |
| 7D POC | 79,656.25 (+3.6%) | 6.1 | 3.6% | 1.6d | 6.0d ago · 116× | 18% ±8 | 38% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 53% ±8 | 146 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 38% ±17 | 53% ±27 | 6.1d | 1.27% | 1.16% | 555 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 78,512.3–78,620.06 (+2.1%) | 3.6 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 6.0d ago · 81× | 33% ±11 | 45% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 106 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±11 | 64% ±20 | 78% ±26 | 1.8d | 1.48% | 0.79% | 406 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 77,876.97 (+1.3%) | 2.2 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 7.2d ago · 75× | 53% ±16 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 83 | 15% ±5 | 53% ±16 | 68% ±25 | 79% ±36 | 21h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 228 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 77,255.46 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 20.3d ago · 50× | 72% ±18 | 42% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 54 | 49% ±8 | 72% ±18 | 83% ±26 | 93% ±25 | 5h | 1.44% | 1.27% | 147 → 4 | |
| at post · 76,859.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 74,363.36 (-3.2%) | 5.4 | 0.2% | 38m | 19.6d ago · 37× | 17% ±7 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±7 | 33% ±16 | 48% ±25 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 609 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.2%) | 5.4 | 0.2% | 38m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 18% ±10 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±10 | 40% ±23 | 52% ±35 | 6.0d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 328 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,266.07 (-16.4%) | 27 | 2.0% | 23h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 11% ±22 | 17% ±36 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 147 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 76,859.9 | 74,223.61 | 78,512.3 | expired | -1.47% |