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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,688.84 (+5.8%) | 11 | 0.2% | 53m | 4.9d ago · 38× | 3% ±2 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 27% ±18 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 974 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 80,023.4 (+3.6%) | 7.0 | 1.6% | 14h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 13% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 34% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 7.0d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1051 → 25 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 79,656.25–79,769.13 (+3.1%) | 6.1 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 116× | 17% ±6 | 43% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 146 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 37% ±14 | 54% ±22 | 5.8d | 1.30% | 1.04% | 849 → 20 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 78,512.3–78,620.06 (+1.7%) | 3.2 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 5.9d ago · 81× | 35% ±12 | 45% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±9 | 106 | 8% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 67% ±20 | 80% ±26 | 1.7d | 1.48% | 0.79% | 390 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 77,876.97 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 3.5% | 22h | 7.1d ago · 75× | 64% ±15 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 83 | 31% ±6 | 64% ±15 | 75% ±24 | 84% ±30 | 12h | 1.46% | 1.03% | 232 → 6 | |
| at post · 77,233.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 77,194.15 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 20.0d ago · 56× | 83% ±15 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 69 | 69% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 88% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 1.29% | 1.34% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 75,155.3 (-2.7%) | 5.2 | 0.3% | 52m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 18% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 35% ±16 | 49% ±26 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 584 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.7%) | 7.2 | 0.2% | 33m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 13% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 28% ±19 | 37% ±32 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 388 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–64,266.07 (-16.8%) | 32 | 1.7% | 19h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 11% ±23 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 77,233.2 | 78,512.3 | 76,730.66 | stop | +0.08% |