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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+5.6%) | 6.8 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.2d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,640.92 (+3.2%) | 3.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 22.7d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| HVN zone | 2,602.52–2,625.56 (+1.7%) | 2.0 | 2.1% | 17h | 1.8d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 2,559.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,554.83 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 17h | 15.1d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 30D POC | 2,521.88 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 5.0% | 1.9d | 4.3d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D VAH | 2,473.1 (-3.4%) | 4.1 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.6d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,433.02–2,433.58 (-4.9%) | 6.0 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 7D VAL | 2,404.68 (-6.1%) | 7.4 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,380.96–2,387.48 (-6.7%) | 8.2 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-7.0%) | 8.6 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,559.78 | 2,733.65 | 2,433.58 | expired | +0.42% |
| 30d | POC | long | 2,559.78 | 2,640.92 | 2,387.48 | expired | +0.42% |