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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+4.5%) | 4.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.2d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,640.92 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 1.7% | 11h | 22.7d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,602.52–2,617.88 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 2.3% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,587.77 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 70× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 2,586.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,395.16–2,571.8 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,521.88 (-2.5%) | 2.7 | 5.6% | 2.2d | 4.3d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,490.36 (-3.7%) | 4.0 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 4.6d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,433.07–2,443.98 (-5.5%) | 6.0 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,395.16–2,402.62 (-7.1%) | 7.7 | 2.7% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-8.0%) | 8.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,374.74 (-8.2%) | 8.9 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.2d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,586.99 | 2,433.07 | 2,626.11 | stop | +1.58% |