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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-04 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+8.6%) | 11 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 7% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,625.56 (+5.5%) | 7.3 | 1.0% | 7h | 22.7d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,603.56 (+4.6%) | 6.2 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 70× | 58% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 15% ±21 | 58% ±68 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,554.76 (+2.6%) | 3.5 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,521.88 (+1.3%) | 1.8 | 4.5% | 1.7d | 4.4d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 2,489.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,451.78 (-1.5%) | 2.0 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 4.3d ago · 106× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,433.26 (-2.3%) | 3.0 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 4.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,399.63 (-3.6%) | 4.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.2d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-4.1%) | 5.5 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±64 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-4.4%) | 5.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 29% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±11 | 27% ±50 | 27% | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,373 (-4.7%) | 6.3 | 0.3% | 39m | 4.2d ago · 59× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±13 | 30% ±64 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.