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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-06 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+7.6%) | 17 | 0.2% | 51m | 3.2d ago · 50× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (+4.8%) | 11 | 0.5% | 3h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,582.6 (+2.8%) | 6.5 | 1.0% | 7h | 4.6d ago · 70× | 44% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 9% ±13 | 37% ±55 | 79% | 79% | 1.3d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,552.08 (+1.6%) | 3.7 | 1.6% | 13h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±14 | 36% ±67 | 36% | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,514.2 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 1.6d | 4.4d ago · 67× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 2,511.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,451.78 (-2.4%) | 5.5 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 106× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,433.26 (-3.1%) | 7.2 | 2.2% | 23h | 4.3d ago · 85× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,399.63 (-4.5%) | 10 | 1.0% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 85× | 6% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,387.48 (-5.0%) | 11 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 31× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-5.3%) | 12 | 0.3% | 50m | 2.6d ago · 47× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±9 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,378.24 (-5.3%) | 12 | 0.2% | 39m | 4.2d ago · 59× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 2,511.9 | 2,387.48 | 2,633.24 | expired | -2.88% |