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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+5.9%) | 11 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (+3.2%) | 6.2 | 0.6% | 3h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 7% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,557.43–2,561.64 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 1.6% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 97× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 2,551.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,514.2–2,515.98 (-1.4%) | 2.6 | 4.0% | 2.0d | 4.3d ago · 106× | 58% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 17% ±23 | 58% ±68 | 92% | 92% | 19h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,433.26 (-4.6%) | 8.9 | 2.7% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 6% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,402.3 (-5.8%) | 11 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 85× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,383.48–2,387.48 (-6.4%) | 12 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-6.7%) | 13 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 6% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,551.1 | 2,515.98 | 2,585.36 | stop | +1.09% |