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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,702.36–2,710.04 (+7.1%) | 8.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.2d ago · 50× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,633.24 (+4.4%) | 5.2 | 0.9% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 44× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,602.9 (+3.2%) | 3.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 97× | 59% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 11% ±15 | 59% ±56 | 94% | 94% | 21h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 2,564.12 (+1.6%) | 1.9 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.4d ago · 104× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,530.26 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 4.6d ago · 70× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 2,523.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,514.2 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 6.0% | 2.9d | 4.3d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,485.22 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 3.0% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,431.81 (-3.6%) | 4.3 | 4.2% | 1.9d | 4.3d ago · 85× | 10% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±34 | 10% | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,387.48–2,387.82 (-5.4%) | 6.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 13% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±33 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,310.68–2,379.8 (-5.7%) | 6.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | 15% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±35 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,523.24 | 2,431.81 | 2,555.9 | stop | -2.06% |