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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,973.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,836.36–2,938.66 (-1.2%) | 0.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,813.39 (-5.4%) | 3.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 30% ±52 | 70% | 70% | 1.7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,650.37–2,650.37 (-10.9%) | 7.8 | 1.8% | 10h | 8.5d ago · 55× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±13 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,389.99–2,622.47 (-11.8%) | 8.5 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,560.85–2,566.19 (-13.7%) | 9.9 | 5.8% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 106× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±4 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±18 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,515.53 (-15.4%) | 11 | 9.5% | 4.0d | 4.3d ago · 72× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,485.92 (-16.4%) | 12 | 5.4% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,389.99–2,394.47 (-19.5%) | 14 | 2.8% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.