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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-12 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,453 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0031), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 2,949.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,827.06–2,929.36 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 47× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 2,830.19 (-4.1%) | 3.5 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 11% ±15 | 31% ±52 | 74% | 74% | 1.5d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,650.37–2,663.83 (-9.7%) | 8.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 8.5d ago · 55× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±12 | 6% ±27 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,389.99–2,622.47 (-11.1%) | 9.7 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,561.19–2,566.19 (-13.0%) | 11 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 4.3d ago · 106× | 4% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,515.53 (-14.7%) | 13 | 7.9% | 3.4d | 4.3d ago · 72× | 8% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,486.31 (-15.7%) | 14 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,389.99–2,394.47 (-18.8%) | 16 | 2.3% | 14h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.