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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,083 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | <0.1% | 21m | 4.5d ago · 97× | 80% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±21 | 81% ±44 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 3,050.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,956.64–2,976.08 (-2.4%) | 2.3 | 2.0% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 2,970.36 (-2.6%) | 2.5 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 44% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 10% ±14 | 49% ±57 | 49% | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 2,830.28–2,908.04 (-4.7%) | 4.5 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 32% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 27% ±44 | 27% | 27% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 2,832.59 (-7.1%) | 6.9 | 0.3% | 43m | 15.0d ago · 55× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,730.65 (-10.5%) | 10 | 0.2% | 37m | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 2,674.76 (-12.3%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,564.28 (-15.9%) | 15 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,524.1 (-17.3%) | 17 | 6.2% | 2.6d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,381.84 (-21.9%) | 21 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,305.4 (-24.4%) | 23 | 0.9% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,050.58 | 2,970.36 | 3,146.42 | target | +1.68% |