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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,482.62 (+2.6%) | 1.9 | 0.1% | 36m | 4.5d ago · 70× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 42% ±31 | 62% ±67 | 92% | 92% | 6h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 3,394.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,180.86–3,318.03 (-2.3%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 52% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 29% ±19 | 51% ±49 | 51% | 51% | 12h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,186.15 (-6.1%) | 4.4 | 0.3% | 58m | 4.5d ago · 65× | 15% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±6 | 13% ±30 | 36% ±67 | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,947.69–3,029.99 (-10.7%) | 7.8 | 2.1% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 5% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,968.97–2,972.8 (-12.4%) | 9.0 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,910.37 (-14.3%) | 10 | 0.5% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 2,783.09 (-18.0%) | 13 | 1.7% | 13h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,664.88 (-21.5%) | 16 | 0.7% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,433.33 (-28.3%) | 20 | 8.8% | 4.1d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,152.15 (-36.6%) | 26 | 0.3% | 28m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.