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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,537.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,529.33 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | <0.1% | 23m | 15.0d ago · 55× | 67% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 67% ±26 | 67% ±65 | 67% | 67% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,182.75–3,325.65 (-6.0%) | 4.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 17% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±29 | 16% ±51 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,227.77 (-8.8%) | 6.3 | 0.4% | 50m | 4.5d ago · 65× | 7% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±22 | 31% ±64 | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,939.82–3,025.56 (-14.5%) | 10 | 2.2% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,969.19–2,969.71 (-16.0%) | 11 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,909.17 (-17.8%) | 13 | 0.5% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 2,811.21 (-20.5%) | 15 | 1.0% | 4h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,739.8 (-22.5%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,432.53 (-31.2%) | 22 | 9.3% | 4.3d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-40.3%) | 29 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,537.37 | 4,326.9 | 2,969.19 | expired | -0.44% |