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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,674.43 (+2.8%) | 1.9 | 0.3% | 46m | 4.5d ago · 70× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 43% ±28 | 71% ±63 | 93% | 93% | 6h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| at post · 3,573.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,486.82–3,564.99 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 76% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 56% ±24 | 78% ±47 | 78% | 78% | 3h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,388.93 (-5.2%) | 3.5 | 1.2% | 5h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 21% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±39 | 48% | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,939.62–3,033.42 (-15.1%) | 10 | 2.3% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,955.25–2,971.79 (-16.8%) | 11 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 2,902.8 (-18.8%) | 13 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,785.62 (-22.0%) | 15 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,431.5 (-32.0%) | 22 | 9.6% | 4.6d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-40.9%) | 28 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.