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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,761.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,693.94 (-1.8%) | 1.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 61% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 41% ±22 | 64% ±54 | 64% | 64% | 7h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,575.4 (-4.9%) | 4.5 | 1.3% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 9% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±19 | 22% ±47 | 22% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,483–3,500.15 (-6.9%) | 6.3 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 8% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±30 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,934.2–3,054.25 (-18.8%) | 17 | 1.6% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,042.87 (-19.1%) | 17 | 1.9% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,002.8 (-20.2%) | 18 | 2.8% | 17h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,974.19 (-20.9%) | 19 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 2,930.99 (-22.1%) | 20 | 1.3% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 2,901.56 (-22.9%) | 21 | 0.2% | 32m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,428.27 (-35.4%) | 32 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-43.9%) | 40 | <0.1% | 7m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.