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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,830.83 (+4.8%) | 3.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 75% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 11% ±10 | 75% ±35 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 17h | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,735.54–3,770.48 (+2.2%) | 1.7 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 3,726.09–3,745.34 (+2.0%) | 1.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 104× | 81% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 52% ±22 | 81% ±44 | 95% | 95% | 4h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 3,654.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,490.99–3,508.46 (-4.0%) | 3.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 17% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±7 | 17% ±28 | 17% ±52 | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,362.92 (-8.0%) | 6.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,932.01–3,054.28 (-16.4%) | 12 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,036.81 (-16.9%) | 13 | 2.2% | 10h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 14D POC | 2,968.62 (-18.8%) | 14 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,896.16 (-20.8%) | 16 | 0.2% | 20m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.16 (-33.4%) | 25 | 7.7% | 3.6d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-42.2%) | 32 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,654.73 | 2,968.62 | 3,875.47 | expired | -2.18% |