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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,831.06 (+3.5%) | 2.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 74% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±11 | 72% ±33 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 17h | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,746.32 (+1.2%) | 0.9 | 2.0% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 104× | 93% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 58% ±23 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 2h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,735.54–3,770.48 (+0.9%) | 0.7 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.7d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,714.66 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 95% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 75% ±20 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| at post · 3,701.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,560.86–3,595.8 (-2.8%) | 2.1 | 1.5% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,490.99–3,508.46 (-5.2%) | 3.9 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 15% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 14% ±26 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,385.04 (-8.5%) | 6.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,054.28 (-17.5%) | 13 | 1.9% | 9h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| 14D POC | 2,966.32 (-19.9%) | 15 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,894.74 (-21.8%) | 16 | 0.2% | 17m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.16 (-34.2%) | 25 | 7.8% | 3.7d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,111 (-43.0%) | 32 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,701.08 | 2,966.32 | 3,862.24 | expired | +1.67% |