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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,833.29 (+3.4%) | 2.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 73% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 15% ±11 | 68% ±34 | 98% ±20 | 98% | 17h | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,747.45 (+1.1%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 104× | 93% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 63% ±23 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 95% | 2h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 3,706.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,692.81 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 9h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 73% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 64% ±20 | 76% ±42 | 80% | 80% | 2h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,486.99–3,503.85 (-5.5%) | 4.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 13% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±21 | 12% ±36 | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,432.68 (-7.4%) | 5.6 | 1.2% | 6h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 5% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,116.16 (-15.9%) | 12 | 0.4% | 3h | 8.4d ago · 38× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,930.75–3,048.74 (-17.8%) | 13 | 2.1% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 2,962.94 (-20.1%) | 15 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 2,893.13 (-22.0%) | 16 | 0.2% | 13m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 100 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,433.5 (-34.4%) | 26 | 7.9% | 3.7d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,172.24 (-41.4%) | 31 | 0.1% | 40m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,706.98 | 3,749.93 | 2,962.94 | target | -3.77% |