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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,838.72 (+4.2%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 58% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 14% ±15 | 56% ±56 | 95% | 95% | 22h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,773.12 (+2.4%) | 1.9 | 1.7% | 10h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 49% ±40 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 27% ±14 | 49% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 75% | 1.0d | 2.44% | 1.72% | 38 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,708.79–3,738.6 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 69% ±24 | 88% ±46 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 3,683.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,589.57–3,678.99 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 79% ±19 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 84% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,603.72–3,644.3 (-1.1%) | 0.8 | 3.7% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 106× | 67% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 43% ±20 | 64% ±47 | 64% | 64% | 2h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,559.76 (-3.4%) | 2.6 | 2.2% | 17h | 8.4d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,172.29–3,321.32 (-9.8%) | 7.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 5% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 19% ±38 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,303.91 (-10.3%) | 7.9 | 0.3% | 41m | 4.1d ago · 59× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±30 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-33.9%) | 26 | 5.1% | 2.7d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-35.7%) | 27 | <0.1% | 20m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,683.58 | 3,773.12 | 3,603.72 | target | +1.63% |