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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-26 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,829.17 (+2.2%) | 2.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 70% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 31% ±17 | 69% ±41 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 11h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,769.62 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 1.6% | 9h | 4.6d ago · 97× | 83% ±33 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 71% ±17 | 84% ±32 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1h | 2.44% | 1.72% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,747 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,693.89–3,738.6 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 79% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 74% ±19 | 79% ±40 | 79% | 79% | 1h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,729.04 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 2.9% | 21h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 90% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 65% ±20 | 90% ±30 | 90% | 90% | 2h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,610.85–3,623.84 (-3.3%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 16h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 5% ±8 | 17% ±33 | 17% ±52 | 17% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,559.76 (-5.0%) | 4.7 | 1.9% | 14h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±24 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,332.56 (-11.1%) | 10 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,172.29–3,321.32 (-11.4%) | 11 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 10% ±29 | 16% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,434.59 (-35.0%) | 33 | 4.1% | 2.3d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,367.53 (-36.8%) | 35 | <0.1% | 14m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.