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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,857.82 (+1.8%) | 2.6 | <0.1% | 6m | 22.6d ago · 44× | 37% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 20% ±18 | 36% ±54 | 47% | 95% | 4.4d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,829.99 (+1.1%) | 1.5 | 0.2% | 53m | 4.5d ago · 70× | 76% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 48% ±20 | 71% ±45 | 96% | 96% | 5h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 3,789.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,773.14 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,589.57–3,768.4 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 80% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 75% ±17 | 79% ±40 | 79% | 79% | 1h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,729.04–3,732.56 (-1.5%) | 2.1 | 2.3% | 19h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 54% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 16% ±15 | 53% ±49 | 53% | 53% | 20h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,628.49 (-4.2%) | 6.1 | 2.1% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±20 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,375.35 (-10.9%) | 16 | 0.7% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,172.29–3,321.32 (-12.4%) | 18 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,971.1 (-21.6%) | 31 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,650.69 (-30.0%) | 43 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 3,789.36 | 3,934.02 | 3,729.04 | expired | +2.95% |