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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,910.52 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 0.3% | 1h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 81% ±35 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 60% ±17 | 82% ±31 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 3h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,869.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,775.2 (-2.4%) | 2.9 | 1.5% | 12h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 18% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±9 | 17% ±33 | 39% ±68 | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,578.96–3,767.75 (-2.6%) | 3.2 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±45 | 42% | 42% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,720.73–3,733.8 (-3.5%) | 4.2 | 2.7% | 24h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 15% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±24 | 18% ±43 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,600.88–3,610.42 (-6.7%) | 8.1 | 2.1% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,466.19 (-10.4%) | 13 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-14.0%) | 17 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-33.7%) | 41 | 2.8% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-38.4%) | 46 | 0.1% | 44m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.