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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,835.07 (+0.7%) | 0.7 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 88% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 74% ±14 | 88% ±24 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,807.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,801.35 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 3,749.67 (-1.5%) | 1.5 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 50% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 35% ±22 | 55% ±56 | 70% | 70% | 8h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 3,641.89–3,642.28 (-4.3%) | 4.3 | 2.8% | 18h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 20% ±26 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 3% ±5 | 20% ±26 | 30% ±52 | 30% | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.78% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,579.09 (-6.0%) | 6.0 | 2.0% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,550.39 (-6.7%) | 6.7 | 1.5% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 10% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±20 | 9% ±33 | 9% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-12.6%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±20 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.9%) | 21 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.6%) | 33 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 104 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-37.4%) | 37 | 0.1% | 53m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.