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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.08 (+5.1%) | 6.4 | 0.1% | 57m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 19% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 19% ±34 | 45% ±69 | 87% | 3.2d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,862.97 (+3.5%) | 4.3 | 1.1% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 58% ±32 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 7% ±7 | 59% ±32 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 21h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.81 (+2.8%) | 3.4 | 1.4% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 53% ±40 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 13% ±11 | 52% ±40 | 93% ±37 | 93% | 23h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,783.27 (+1.3%) | 1.7 | 2.9% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 90% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 40% ±23 | 90% ±34 | 95% | 95% | 6h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,759.88–3,764.94 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 79× | 83% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 83% ±23 | 83% ±52 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 3,732.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,714.7 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,615.31 (-3.2%) | 3.9 | 2.1% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 46% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 7% ±14 | 43% ±69 | 43% | 43% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-10.9%) | 13 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±14 | 4% ±28 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-19.3%) | 24 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 2,965.38 (-20.6%) | 25 | 2.5% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.