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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,232.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,046.15–4,160.49 (-1.7%) | 1.6 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 42% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 29% ±14 | 48% ±37 | 48% ±69 | 60% | 4.5d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,024.61 (-4.9%) | 4.7 | 0.4% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 11% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±18 | 25% ±43 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 3,921.03 (-7.4%) | 7.0 | 0.8% | 6h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 3% ±15 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,888.94 (-8.1%) | 7.8 | 1.3% | 12h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 12% ±32 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,531.64–3,860.36 (-8.8%) | 8.4 | 1.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,779.15 (-10.7%) | 10 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,638.83–3,644.65 (-13.9%) | 13 | 5.3% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±9 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,510.07 (-17.1%) | 16 | 1.5% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 10% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 146 → 3 |
| 7D VAL | 3,478.15 (-17.8%) | 17 | 1.7% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,403.02 (-19.6%) | 19 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 133 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.