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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,672.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,489.39–4,576.94 (-2.0%) | 1.8 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 45% ±34 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 24% ±12 | 45% ±34 | 45% ±56 | 57% | 4.8d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,526.04 (-3.1%) | 2.7 | 0.1% | 29m | 4.3d ago · 65× | 43% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 18% ±12 | 42% ±40 | 53% ±69 | 53% | 1.5d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,286.53 (-8.3%) | 7.2 | 1.9% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 8% ±17 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 17% ±37 | 17% ±53 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,190.46 (-10.3%) | 9.0 | 1.5% | 11h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±10 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,902.2–3,911.56 (-16.3%) | 14 | 1.2% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±9 | 5% ±24 | > 7d | — | — | 120 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 3,456.29–3,876.54 (-17.0%) | 15 | 1.7% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 137 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,640.15–3,665.71 (-21.5%) | 19 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,353.51–3,368.74 (-27.9%) | 24 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 155 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.