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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,684.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,489.6–4,579.18 (-2.3%) | 2.0 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 31% ±32 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±30 | 34% ±54 | 48% | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,526.75 (-3.4%) | 3.0 | 0.1% | 25m | 4.3d ago · 65× | 29% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 9% ±8 | 27% ±33 | 44% ±69 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,202.28–4,221.62 (-9.9%) | 8.9 | 1.7% | 17h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 4% ±10 | 68% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±23 | 14 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 7% ±26 | 7% ±36 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.27% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,893.46–3,898.41 (-16.8%) | 15 | 1.4% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 4% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 115 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 3,468.44–3,880.49 (-17.2%) | 15 | 1.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,638.64–3,647.84 (-22.1%) | 20 | 5.8% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 115 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,353.51–3,360.95 (-28.3%) | 25 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 165 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.